Our Global Trend Watchlist for Private Equity

In today’s global landscape we see trends that hold a variety of unfolding opportunities and risks—and often they are the converse of each other. At Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. L.P. (together with its affiliates, “KKR”), close attention is paid to these big-picture trends as we work to source investments and systematically de-risk our portfolio companies.

A Reduction In Global Trade

Even before the last US presidential election, we were seeing a clear decline in global trade over the past several years. This trend clearly benefits companies with ample domestic markets and more reliance on local supply chains. That profile fits many firms in the US, the world’s biggest market, and others in Indonesia and India. What we might call “deglobalization” could also lead some companies, especially those with strong pricing power, to spin off some of their units, creating separate entities that could present new investment opportunities.

Increased Global Defense Spending

KKR is looking closely at this area today, especially in Europe and the US, with a particular focus on cybersecurity.

The Rise of The United States of Asia

We’re seeing a big uptick in inter-Asia exports based on trade deals and proximity. Infrastructure is a particularly interesting facet of that trade, and one where we see strong growth potential.

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How to Potentially Enhance Equity Performance in a Climate of Uncertainty

As challenging as the investment landscape has been, we expect it to be even more so going forward. Global growth is slow, and the returns we have seen in recent years have been pulled forward by quantitative easing and the low interest-rate environment. Over the next ten years, returns are likely to be lower across all asset classes than they were during the past ten years.

In that context, we offer three themes investors can potentially utilize to enhance the returns of their equity portfolios. These themes underscore the reasons we believe private equity can be a useful component of investor portfolios in this kind of climate.

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