A Different Liquidity Trap

Liquidity has its dangers. The evidence is fairly clear that humans (and that category includes most investors) tend to make economic decisions that are not in their best interest. Liquidity, as it turns out, can enable this irrational behavior. Let me back up. Behavioral finance is a young science that uses psychology to understand irrational […]
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Be Careful What You Wish For

Managed Futures Post Brexit

Fear Is Not An Investment Decision

The End of the Beginning or Beginning of the End (Redux): Written Commentary

For those of you who did not have the time to watch the video on this topic, below is a more complete text of what I had to say: Tragedies in Orlando and in England by themselves are difficult to comprehend and clearly represent elements of extremism that indicate some “permission” to behave at the […]
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The End of the Beginning or Beginning of the End (Redux): Video Commentary

  Links to Referenced ThinkAdvisor and Blog Content: A Different Liquidity Trap https://altegrisblogs.com/2014/05/28/the-end-of-the-beginning-or-the-beginning-of-the-end/    

The Fed Minutes Are Not As Dovish As The Markets Are Reading Them

We have to wait for Brexit and the July employment numbers before the Fed reacts

Commodities at a Crossroads

Our CEO, Jack Rivkin, recently revisited his thus far prescient view of economic issues facing “The Rest of the Americas.” There are several key drivers one should pay attention to when evaluating the Americas, most of which ultimately lead to the commodity markets. From the Fed’s decision on interest rates (which is highly data dependent), […]
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The Rest of the Americas: Reprise

We are continuing our review of what has happened since we laid out our expectations in our Perspectives at the beginning of the year. We had a view that one could find all manner of investment opportunities, long and short, without moving beyond the continents of the Americas. Given the volatility of the markets and the […]
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Beginning the Look Back at What We Expected for 2016 (and Beyond)

At the beginning of the year we wrote a Perspective on “What to Expect in 2016 (and Beyond).” There were several expectations of which many were not likely to play out until later in the year. For example, our views on commodities staying flat were based on dollar strength and China not beginning its full-fledged fiscal […]
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