Category Archives: Economic Impact

2017: A Challenging Year Ahead for Portfolio Allocation Decisions

Surprising many investors and pundits alike, the S&P 500 posted a solid return for 2016, finishing the year up close to 10%. If investors never looked at their statements, one might be naïve to how much markets zigged and zagged throughout the year. Can we expect more of the same in 2017?   To view […]
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Can ESG Investors Do Well While Doing Good?

Investors can play a pivotal role in addressing global issues with solutions government organizations can’t achieve on their own. ESG investing—meaning investments guided by environmental, social and corporate governance criteria, also known as impact investing—is one avenue for those efforts. Not only is ESG investing a way to do the right thing, it can help […]
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The Political Bull Market and Your Portfolio

In the eight years since the financial crisis, we have been in what I call a political bull market—a time when the thinking, decisions, and activities of political actors have had a disproportionate impact on the performance of companies around the globe. By “political actors,” I mean elected officials, other policy makers and NGOs as […]
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Q3 2016 Market Update and Outlook: A Golden Summer

At the end of Q2 2016, uncertainty was on the rise, the geopolitical environment was fragile and financial markets appeared highly susceptible to exogenous shocks. Global stock indices wobbled, safe haven trades such as long Japanese yen and long US treasuries gained steam, all while gold rallied in tandem with investor uncertainty. We expected much […]
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The Times They Are A-Changin’

As we approach the end of summer, here’s my perspective on economic issues worth watching. Employment The big new noise is the July employment report. Job growth surged, according to the Department of Labor. The US economy added 255,000 positions, according to the Department of Labor, far more than the 180,000 increase that economists had […]
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Macro, Markets, and Malarkey

Stocks and Bonds It feels like forever ago, but back in February, the S&P 500 hit its lowest level since 2014 as global growth fears spooked investors, leading to liquidations and deleveraging—most notably for sovereign wealth funds. Fast forward to now…as of the end of July 2016, the S&P 500 closed at 2,173.60—up 7.5% from […]
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REITs vs. Your Home

Many people don’t have an investment allocation to real estate investment trusts (“REITs”) because they believe they already have “enough” exposure to “real estate” through ownership of their home. REITs and your home are very different asset classes with very different characteristics. REITs invest primarily in commercial real estate, which is any non-residential property used […]
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A Different Liquidity Trap

Liquidity has its dangers. The evidence is fairly clear that humans (and that category includes most investors) tend to make economic decisions that are not in their best interest. Liquidity, as it turns out, can enable this irrational behavior. Let me back up. Behavioral finance is a young science that uses psychology to understand irrational […]
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Be Careful What You Wish For

Managed Futures Post Brexit